• 2025 peanut castor seed canola soybean oil refinery plant in Lesotho
  • 2025 peanut castor seed canola soybean oil refinery plant in Lesotho
  • 2025 peanut castor seed canola soybean oil refinery plant in Lesotho
  • 2025 peanut castor seed canola soybean oil refinery plant in Lesotho
  • Will soybean oil go around if more renewable diesel projects are announced?
  • Analysts are having a hard time modeling out the soybean oil needs in the near term and long term as more renewable diesel projects are announced. For now, forecasts call for not enough soybean oil to go around despite higher prices and expanded acreage.
  • Will soybean prices be high in 2024?
  • To increase soybean acres significantly, soybean prices would need to be around $18 per bushel by the 2024-25 crop year. However, to meet the growing renewable diesel market, the U.S. might need to reduce exports of raw beans and increase exports of soybean meal.
  • What would happen if the soybean market was built out?
  • If everything is built out as projected in the forecasts, farmers would need to add tens of millions of acres of soybeans and yield increases to keep up with the crush demand. For now, soybean prices are expected to rise and acreage to expand, but there may not be enough soybean oil to meet the demand.
  • Will the demand for soybean oil increase in 2022?
  • According to the USDA's Economic Research Service, soybean oil is projected to see greater demand starting in 2022. Rabobank also offers a similar outlook, projecting greater crush capacity starting in 2023 due to the increasing number of renewable diesel facilities coming online.
  • How many soybean acres would it take to build a diesel refinery?
  • It would take 40 million additional soybean acres to operate renewable diesel refineries at 80% capacity. Basse's projections align with Nicholson's. 'The math boggles your mind,' Basse said, 'but the investments are being made.'
  • Will soybean acreage potentially shift in 2022?
  • DTN Lead Analyst Todd Hultman has seen soybean acreage projections ranging from a low of 87 million acres to a high of 90 million acres. Last week, the EPA projected an increase of 820 million gallons in renewable diesel volumes for 2022. Forecasts over acreage shifts right now are mixed.